THE COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS OF DOLLAR AND EURO:
In 1998, the European central bank
was established following the introduction of Euro in 1999 for the credit
transactions as 'virtual currency' in stock exchange, banking etc which
later in 2002, evolved to be the non-virtual currency. It was introduced at a
value on par with dollar that is 1 Euro equalling 1 dollar. Surprisingly, the
value of Euro rose to 1.7$ on the first day of its inception. The Euro was formed merging
the currencies of 12 nations of the EU which also included Germany’s
mark and France’s franc, the most important currencies before dollar.
Reserve currency has become a
significant part in the foreign trade in today’s world. Let us go back to the
past to know the different reserve currencies adopted by different countries in
the 20th century. Gold standard was adopted as a reserve currency by
almost all the countries in the beginning of the 20th century.
Nevertheless, UK abandoned the gold standard and adopted sterling pound. As UK was the most powerful back then, the entire world began
transacting in the pounds relying on UK's decision. US dollar did not show any significance around that time. There comes
a time where UK takes back its decision to continue with the fiat money and
took to gold standard again, which resulted in the devaluation of pound at an
unexpected rate. This pinned all the countries to transact in dollars which
gave them a surety of the gold backup. They found stability in the dollars.
Prior to the adoption of dollar
as the transaction currency, German mark was used for the transactions for a
good period of time. It showed authenticity. But, the World War 2 ruined the
stability expected by other countries as Germany was misplaced in the chaos of
economic devastation. Thus, the dollar sneaked in and caught hold of the
opportunity of becoming the greatest monetary power in the world. When the US
left behind the gold standard, the world experienced a smooth flow of
dollars which were easily made available as already 2/3rds of the
world had followed transacting in dollars.
After the entire world adopted the
fiat money, there was a need for reserve currency which was the means of trade
among the countries. There is never a world currency but a dominant currency.
How does a currency become dominant? When the central banking emerged in the
countries, they resorted to two conditions to decide on their reserve currency. 1) Currency standing stable in the present scenario and 2) Currency to be reliable in future. As US emerged to be the
most stable and powerful economy which surpassed all the European countries and
Russia, dollar has eventually grabbed the attraction of the people and gained
an immense trust.
In 2002, when the Euro was
introduced, there was a wide stability seen in the currency adopted by almost
all the European countries jointly. This developed a leap of faith in the Euro
currency. It was considered stronger compared to dollar. It enwrapped itself
without being hit by the USA’s economic crisis in 2008. As it is assumed that
the US is being irresponsible in printing the currency, there would come a
phase of devaluation of dollar. This resulted in the countries of the world
trading in dollars, shift to Euro. When Russia announced that its reserve
currency is lumped with Euro, many other countries tried to shift towards Euro
too. When Saddam transacted his oil reserves in Euros, Iran followed the same
lines. In this way, there was stability found in Euro compared to dollar at one
point in time. Then, the great minds stated that it would become a dominant
currency by 2020 if the rest of the European countries adopted Euro too.
Unfortunately, the euro crisis had
shattered the desire of the emergence of a new world of Euro as a dominant currency. Greece,
Italy, Spain and few other countries are in the turmoil of debt traps by
themselves which is slowly powering down the stability of Euro which makes its
dream far from achieving. There is a tug of war between the dollar and the euro
to become the dominant currency of the world, although dollar stands first in
the current day currency world. If the euro zone crisis is sorted out as quickly as
possible and standing back at a stable position, would gain back the trust in Euro to
compete with the dollars and become dominant again.
Comments
Post a Comment